Primetime NFL games bring in the numbers -- and the bets. In an attempt to boost gamer bankrolls, this only occasionally profitable bettor will attempt to stack greenbacks under the lights. As always, fade or follow -- that’s up to you.
The Pick: Jacoby Brissett OVER 15.5 rush yards (-110, BetMGM)
With the calendar officially flipped to November, deal seekers are on constant alert for notifications on that must-have on-sale item sure to make the holiday special.
Gamblers shopping player prop lines across various ‘books are always in a similar mindset each and every week -- especially when it comes to markets offered in Dallas Cowboys games.
Whether attempting to defend the run or the pass, Little D constantly fails on fundamentals. Entering the week, Matt Eberflus’ subdued crew slots No. 32 in EPA per play defense. On Pro Football Focus, they’re also bottom barrel in overall defensive efficiency. A ragtag and somewhat inexperienced group in several areas, they’re quite penetrable across the board.
Throwing additional support behind the market above, the ‘Pokes are No. 30 in rush EPA defense, surrendering the most ground yards to the QB position. Their blitz-happy approach has applied copious pressure (30.1% of QB dropbacks), but the feeble defenders attempting to execute the game-plan simply haven’t contained opportunistic QBs. Specifically, they’ve allowed 27.5 rush yards per game to the position. Juicy.
Brissett is the antithesis of Lamar Jackson or Drake Maye. Though not exactly fleet-of-foot, the 32 year-old is creative and shifty when calling his own number. On his 2.5 carries per contest, he’s averaged an effective 4.70 yards per carry, sprinting for at least 19 yards in back-to-back games.
In a contest with enormous statistical appeal, the discount on Brissett rush yards is one steal of a deal.
NO CONTEXT PARLAY PLAY: SGP - Trey McBride anytime TD, CeeDee Lamb 50+ receiving yards (+155, BetMGM)