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Saturdays are usually for college football, but this late in the NFL season, the pros rule the day. What is my favorite action in the pair of playoff-minded matchups?
Below is a breakdown. Fade or follow — that’s up to YOU!
Jerry Jeudy 60+ receiving yards at Ravens (+100, DraftKings)
The 20-point spread is not only the widest projected margin of the NFL season, but it’s also the biggest line since 2021 and the largest in Ravens franchise history.
A throttling, killing, crushing and annihilation of epic proportions seems inevitable. After all, behemoth Baltimore is vying for the AFC North title. A win against the bungling Browns cements it.
Wagering on any Cleveland player may seem like an exercise in masochism, but given the enormous expected deficit, elevated third-string quarterback Bailey Zappe is bound to throw until his rotator cuff shreds — and he's an upgrade over dart-team last pick Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
The anticipated volume is a bonanza for Jeudy’s receiving potential.
Coming on strong down the homestretch, the Browns wide receiver has totaled at least 60 receiving yards in eight of his last nine games. He’s averaging a sizable 8.2 targets per game this season and ranks top-five among all wideouts in total air yards (WR5) and route wins (WR3). In the first matchup against the Ravens in Week 8, Jeudy sailed past the proposed number, catching five passes for 79 yards.
Baltimore is No. 1 in pass EPA defense since Week 13, and Jeudy’s projected primary assignment, cornerback Nate Wiggins, has allowed only a 50.8% catch rate and 73.2 passer rating. However, on potentially 8-12 targets, the rising receiver will finish the season on a high note.
Joe Burrow OVER 2.5 passing touchdowns at Steelers (+130, DraftKings)
Frankly, if the modern-day Joe Cool didn’t spin spirals for the Bengals, he would be the undeniable league MVP. His 42 passing touchdowns are a franchise record, and in completing a ridiculous 69.8% of his attempts in 16 games, he’s been nothing shy of brilliant.
Currently riding an insane eight-game streak of at least three touchdown passes, Burrow is an infrared heater cranked on high. He’s No. 1 in total red-zone pass attempts and No. 13 in red-zone completion percentage.
The last time Cincinnati’s vertical slayer clashed with the division-rival Steelers in Week 13, he hurled 309 yards and three TDs. Given Pittsburgh’s defensive undressing in recent games, a duplication is possible.
Since Week 13, Mike Tomlin’s bunch has been a beatable No. 23 in pass EPA defense, allowing three QBs to throw for at least three scores. Over that span, the Steelers also have surrendered a hefty 7.79 passing yards per attempt and 267.6 passing yards per game.
The Bengals only have an 8% chance to secure a postseason spot. The odds are minuscule, but Burrow is sure to go down firing.
At plus money, the prop above is simply too irresistible.