Yes, your interest-free investment won’t pay off for months, but the wait could be worth it. With the 2024 NFL regular season about to commence, where should gamblers stack their greenbacks in the season-long props market? Here are my initial thoughts on a buyable market tied to an ageless running back.
The pick — Raheem Mostert 10+ rushing touchdowns (+160, DraftKings)
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Hey gamer, head to your local grocer, walk over to aisle nine and grab a bottle of spicy Mostert. Your bankroll, and sandwich, will greatly appreciate it.
Yes, the Dolphins running back is on the wrong side of 30, has a long track record of physical setbacks and is immersed in a full-blown RBBC with fantasy-fawned-over sophomore De’Von Achane and rookie burner Jaylen Wright. However, Mostert is set to revive his prolific red-zone role.
Last year in 15 games, he finished No. 5 among all NFL RBs in total touches inside the 20 with 53, including 16 logged at the goal line. His combination of long-range speed (4.43 in the 40) and break-tackle ability (RB16 in YAC per attempt with a 3.40 mark in 2023) are still top shelf.
[ Gamer's Guide to the Gridiron: Fantasy football forecasts and NFL betting picks ]
Last season, the Purdue product did an end-zone jig a league-leading 18 times on the ground. It’s possible Achane’s opportunity share will climb, but Mike McDaniel’s recent “hot hand” revelations and the initial depth chart with Achane and Mostert listed as co-starters suggest Mostert should again average at or near the 13.9 carries per game he gripped in 2023.
The Fightin’ Flippers have a bottom-10 projected offensive line, but their somewhat friendly schedule (No. 13 SOS for fantasy RBs) and the spectacular field-stretching skills of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle indicate another profitable year is possible for the undervalued fantasy RB (ADP: 86.26, RB26).
McDaniel has established a culture of competition at RB since Day 1. Still, as he openly remarked in July, the crowded room is “pretty much led by Mostert.”
Count on Mostert being one of the gaming world’s supreme cross-the-chalk kings in 2024. Even if you believe his production drops off, 10 rushing touchdowns are quite reachable.